What if… (revisited)

Political divides in the UK; a document possibly already familiar to many readers, but of renewed relevance.

To my mind it implies that the “LDs give up and join Labour” scenario discussed in my previous posting isn’t quite as unlikely as all that: the graphs on pages 18 and 25 show substantial overlap between Labour and LD supporters on the two main axes they identify.

The other thing I’d forgotten about that survey was the implication that UKIP supporters are disaffected centrist Conservatives. Sadly the script I was using is inaccessibly located on a laptop right now but this evening I shall work out what difference UKIP throwing in their lot with the Conservatives might have made.

What if UKIP joined the Conservatives?

If UKIP merged with the Conservatives:
                                   Party     Votes  Seats
=========================================================
                            Conservative: 11573560    326
                                  Labour:  8583224    242
                        Liberal Democrat:  6806098     50
               Democratic Unionist Party:   168216      8
                 Scottish National Party:   491386      6
                               Sinn Fein:   171942      5
                             Plaid Cymru:   163196      3
        Social Democratic & Labour Party:   110970      3
                             Independent:   140537      1
                          Alliance Party:    42762      1
                                   Green:   285616      1
                                 Speaker:    22860      1

So there you go. If it weren’t for UKIP, looks like the Conservatives might have a (tiny) majority.

Where I got my data from.

NHS Summary Care Records opt-out

So to get started all you have to do is correctly enter a NINETY-FIVE CHARACTER URL…

(That's http://www.connectingforhealth.nhs.uk/systemsandservices/scr/staff/aboutscr/comms/pip/noscr.pdf for anyone who’d like to save themselves the trouble. Obviously you should check I’m giving you the right URL though.)

Flashforward 18 and 19 (spoilers)

( Episode 18 )

( Episode 19 )