What if UKIP joined the Conservatives?

[ewx]

If UKIP merged with the Conservatives:
                                   Party     Votes  Seats
=========================================================
                            Conservative: 11573560    326
                                  Labour:  8583224    242
                        Liberal Democrat:  6806098     50
               Democratic Unionist Party:   168216      8
                 Scottish National Party:   491386      6
                               Sinn Fein:   171942      5
                             Plaid Cymru:   163196      3
        Social Democratic & Labour Party:   110970      3
                             Independent:   140537      1
                          Alliance Party:    42762      1
                                   Green:   285616      1
                                 Speaker:    22860      1

So there you go. If it weren’t for UKIP, looks like the Conservatives might have a (tiny) majority.

Where I got my data from.

Comments

[mhoulden.livejournal.com]

Whereas if you added all the votes from Veritas, nothing would happen.

[stephdairy.livejournal.com]

ConservativeHome points out the Telegraph has asked the same question:

http://conservativehome.blogs.com/goldlist/2010/05/did-ukip-cost-the-tories-a-commons-majority.html

...and it's also been pointed out that taking Scotland out of the question has the same result:

http://conservativehome.blogs.com/platform/2010/05/rob-leitch-there-is-trouble-ahead-for-the-union.html

(S)

[ewx.livejournal.com]

Be interesting to see how Conservative thinking on Scotland evolves.