Eastleigh

Mar. 1st, 2013 09:16 am
ewx: (union penguin)
[personal profile] ewx
Party 2010 2013
LD 24966 13342
UKIP 1933 11571
Con 21102 10559
Lab 5153 4088
Turnout 53650 41616

Turnout fell by 22%. Labour’s vote fell by 20%, i.e. held up compared to turnout but didn't actually go anywhere. Failing to pick up anti-incumbent protest votes is a bit of a problem for the opposition party.

The CON+UKIP vote fell by only 3%, but went from a 92-8 split to a 48-52 split. (It’s only a guess that it's the same people both times round but I think it’s a fairly plausible one.)

Nigel Farage is plainly onto something with “If the Conservatives hadn't split our vote we would have won” although I cannot help but be reminded of the (probably apocryphal) Enver Hoxha quote: “Never forget that, with China, Albania has a quarter of the world’s population.”

The LD vote fell by nearly 50%. Given the fall in turnout, “half of previous LD voters stayed home” isn’t an implausible interpretation.

(will be screened)
(will be screened if not validated)
If you don't have an account you can create one now.
HTML doesn't work in the subject.
More info about formatting

If you are unable to use this captcha for any reason, please contact us by email at support@dreamwidth.org

February 2025

S M T W T F S
      1
2345678
9101112131415
16171819202122
232425262728 

Most Popular Tags

Expand Cut Tags

No cut tags